Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #111 / 1,000

P0240

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 90,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 12 263

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 263

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 218Deviation R 4 481

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 2 263. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 101

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 515 to R 7 144
Finished ahead: 140 / 1,000 (14,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #755 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.602
Mean bets / session: 4.825
Loss multiplier: 1.0451×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,4% / 55,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 9 44743 wagers · RTP 109,67%

Craps / DiceR 8 93739 wagers · RTP 102,05%

Lottery / JackpotR 3 40034 wagers · RTP 41,18%

American RouletteR 3 18114 wagers · RTP 103,36%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 00814 wagers · RTP 112,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 17110 wagers · RTP 20,87%

European RouletteR 2 15310 wagers · RTP 365,07%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6017 wagers · RTP 83,20%

CrashR 1 0755 wagers · RTP 28,28%

BaccaratR 1 0575 wagers · RTP 74,55%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies