Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #17 / 1,000

P0241

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 97,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 34 178

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 24 178

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 554Deviation R 25 732

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 24 178. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 905

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 147 to R 14 898
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #745 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.39
Mean bets / session: 4.893
Loss multiplier: 1.0736×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,5% / 73,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 90831 wagers · RTP 95,08%

Craps / DiceR 5 78527 wagers · RTP 85,50%

European RouletteR 5 58325 wagers · RTP 54,25%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 81113 wagers · RTP 61,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 75912 wagers · RTP 1 075,06%

American RouletteR 2 66812 wagers · RTP 43,67%

CrashR 1 8078 wagers · RTP 96,71%

BaccaratR 1 3346 wagers · RTP 104,80%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2586 wagers · RTP 455,88%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 10011 wagers · RTP 18,18%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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