Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #839 / 1,000

P0251

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 14,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 894

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 106

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 626Deviation -R 5 480

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 106. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 000

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 835 to R 10 619
Finished ahead: 176 / 1,000 (17,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #749 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.768
Mean bets / session: 5.669
Loss multiplier: 1.0122×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,4% / 50,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 8 05660 wagers · RTP 83,58%

BlackjackR 6 87851 wagers · RTP 94,04%

European RouletteR 6 58946 wagers · RTP 76,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 46525 wagers · RTP 76,68%

American RouletteR 2 69121 wagers · RTP 96,66%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 02615 wagers · RTP 12,98%

CrashR 1 75313 wagers · RTP 109,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0279 wagers · RTP 106,30%

Lottery / JackpotR 98310 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 7096 wagers · RTP 39,21%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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