Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #730 / 1,000

P0253

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 33,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 128

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 872

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 048Deviation -R 3 824

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 872. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 654

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 909 to R 11 261
Finished ahead: 205 / 1,000 (20,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #683 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,19% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.395
Mean bets / session: 4.761
Loss multiplier: 1.0521×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,6% / 55,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 10 76656 wagers · RTP 112,62%

Craps / DiceR 7 67341 wagers · RTP 97,80%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 52113 wagers · RTP 48,94%

American RouletteR 1 70611 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 4108 wagers · RTP 147,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 40014 wagers · RTP 28,57%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 3128 wagers · RTP 35,63%

CrashR 1 1287 wagers · RTP 30,59%

European RouletteR 8265 wagers · RTP 35,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7784 wagers · RTP 26,99%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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