Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #825 / 1,000

P0257

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 23,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 165

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 835

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 445Deviation -R 5 390

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 835. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 139

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 987 to R 16 681
Finished ahead: 210 / 1,000 (21,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #757 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.416
Mean bets / session: 5.183
Loss multiplier: 1.029×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 57,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 9 44255 wagers · RTP 88,94%

BlackjackR 6 32737 wagers · RTP 76,80%

CrashR 2 39814 wagers · RTP 48,01%

European RouletteR 2 30814 wagers · RTP 162,87%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 19214 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 69912 wagers · RTP 148,26%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6108 wagers · RTP 42,24%

American RouletteR 1 5898 wagers · RTP 34,49%

Lottery / JackpotR 98410 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6395 wagers · RTP 68,73%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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