Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #705 / 1,000

P0266

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 32,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 488

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 512

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 662Deviation -R 3 850

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 512. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 694

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 238 to R 12 462
Finished ahead: 193 / 1,000 (19,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #683 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,05% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.341
Mean bets / session: 3.616
Loss multiplier: 1.0006×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,9% / 70,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 3 36325 wagers · RTP 114,15%

Craps / DiceR 2 25618 wagers · RTP 146,72%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 71313 wagers · RTP 7,53%

European RouletteR 1 64811 wagers · RTP 12,50%

BaccaratR 1 60312 wagers · RTP 75,18%

CrashR 1 42910 wagers · RTP 84,10%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 20012 wagers · RTP 16,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1299 wagers · RTP 18,25%

American RouletteR 9027 wagers · RTP 80,16%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7115 wagers · RTP 59,35%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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