Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #608 / 1,000

P0267

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 28,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 019

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 981

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 746Deviation -R 2 236

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 981. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 158

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 285 to R 4 965
Finished ahead: 199 / 1,000 (19,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #560 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.291
Mean bets / session: 4.01
Loss multiplier: 1.0162×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,7% / 52,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 4 05837 wagers · RTP 94,06%

BlackjackR 2 50023 wagers · RTP 115,42%

BaccaratR 1 77716 wagers · RTP 54,76%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 10011 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 04110 wagers · RTP 21,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 9108 wagers · RTP 42,86%

American RouletteR 6826 wagers · RTP 38,42%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5465 wagers · RTP 206,96%

CrashR 4624 wagers · RTP 48,48%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4334 wagers · RTP 142,73%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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