Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #709 / 1,000

P0268

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 51,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 417

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 583

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 865Deviation -R 2 718

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 583. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 751

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 631 to R 15 591
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #741 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,16% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.429
Mean bets / session: 5.961
Loss multiplier: 1.0429×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,0% / 78,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 74945 wagers · RTP 85,38%

Craps / DiceR 7 34442 wagers · RTP 89,87%

BlackjackR 6 29334 wagers · RTP 81,79%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 44330 wagers · RTP 50,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 06822 wagers · RTP 67,01%

CrashR 2 86616 wagers · RTP 129,20%

BaccaratR 2 19613 wagers · RTP 96,72%

European RouletteR 1 98112 wagers · RTP 247,30%

American RouletteR 6253 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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