Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #509 / 1,000

P0269

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 69,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 083

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 917

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 733Deviation -R 184

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 917. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 894

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 409 to R 10 202
Finished ahead: 204 / 1,000 (20,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #697 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.688
Mean bets / session: 4.382
Loss multiplier: 1.054×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,6% / 71,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 12 05743 wagers · RTP 123,94%

BlackjackR 11 88944 wagers · RTP 91,90%

Craps / DiceR 9 45235 wagers · RTP 71,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 32219 wagers · RTP 100,90%

European RouletteR 4 91018 wagers · RTP 51,06%

American RouletteR 2 89411 wagers · RTP 164,03%

BaccaratR 2 0908 wagers · RTP 126,51%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6757 wagers · RTP 25,97%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 10011 wagers · RTP 127,27%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7193 wagers · RTP 65,23%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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