Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #844 / 1,000

P0270

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 44,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 671

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 329

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 910Deviation -R 4 419

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 329. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 034

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 876 to R 5 566
Finished ahead: 87 / 1,000 (8,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #831 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,98% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.693
Mean bets / session: 5.75
Loss multiplier: 1.0231×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 59,2% / 70,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 6 21757 wagers · RTP 60,00%

BlackjackR 5 82044 wagers · RTP 82,89%

Lottery / JackpotR 3 25840 wagers · RTP 18,85%

American RouletteR 2 79120 wagers · RTP 122,61%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 36319 wagers · RTP 16,38%

European RouletteR 1 84514 wagers · RTP 74,91%

BaccaratR 1 84317 wagers · RTP 166,03%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 65412 wagers · RTP 140,72%

CrashR 1 40013 wagers · RTP 72,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 2989 wagers · RTP 30,46%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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