Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #462 / 1,000

P0271

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 71,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 446

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 554

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 463Deviation -R 91

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 554. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 428

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 701 to R 14 021
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #726 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,17% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.822
Mean bets / session: 4.73
Loss multiplier: 1.0621×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,2% / 60,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 8 52345 wagers · RTP 109,01%

Craps / DiceR 7 72942 wagers · RTP 86,66%

European RouletteR 5 37229 wagers · RTP 136,99%

Three-Reel SlotR 4 25824 wagers · RTP 53,86%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 84015 wagers · RTP 44,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 55314 wagers · RTP 53,21%

CrashR 2 48113 wagers · RTP 194,09%

American RouletteR 2 12411 wagers · RTP 147,46%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 80018 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 5498 wagers · RTP 94,82%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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