Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #768 / 1,000

P0272

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 44,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 346

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 654

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 410Deviation -R 3 244

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 654. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 334

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 909 to R 7 427
Finished ahead: 153 / 1,000 (15,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #763 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.779
Mean bets / session: 4.887
Loss multiplier: 1.0751×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,2% / 74,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 43749 wagers · RTP 108,65%

Craps / DiceR 5 23838 wagers · RTP 98,80%

American RouletteR 3 36127 wagers · RTP 19,82%

CrashR 2 68020 wagers · RTP 137,45%

European RouletteR 2 24315 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 06721 wagers · RTP 103,73%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 97916 wagers · RTP 80,87%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 91412 wagers · RTP 67,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 78913 wagers · RTP 8,94%

BaccaratR 7345 wagers · RTP 146,59%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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