Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #324 / 1,000

P0274

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 73,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 586

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 414

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 717Deviation R 302

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 414. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 615

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 580 to R 13 310
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #609 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,60% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.78
Mean bets / session: 3.173
Loss multiplier: 1.0761×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,4% / 51,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 3 75825 wagers · RTP 118,04%

BaccaratR 3 74625 wagers · RTP 63,41%

Craps / DiceR 2 37417 wagers · RTP 95,03%

European RouletteR 1 85812 wagers · RTP 87,67%

American RouletteR 1 72611 wagers · RTP 76,13%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 40910 wagers · RTP 10,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 30013 wagers · RTP 76,92%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2709 wagers · RTP 324,17%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4983 wagers · RTP 60,54%

CrashR 4393 wagers · RTP 89,69%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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