Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #802 / 1,000

P0275

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 38,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 632

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 368

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 502Deviation -R 4 867

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 368. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 471

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 337 to R 16 639
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #771 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,95% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.523
Mean bets / session: 4.595
Loss multiplier: 1.0408×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,7% / 54,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 8 56538 wagers · RTP 107,09%

Craps / DiceR 7 80938 wagers · RTP 73,66%

Three-Reel SlotR 4 25922 wagers · RTP 122,80%

CrashR 2 42812 wagers · RTP 62,76%

BaccaratR 2 3179 wagers · RTP 79,93%

American RouletteR 2 23311 wagers · RTP 44,07%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 6787 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9755 wagers · RTP 63,21%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5353 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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