Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #694 / 1,000

P0277

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 45,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 681

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 319

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 930Deviation -R 3 389

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 319. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 000

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 745 to R 13 145
Finished ahead: 204 / 1,000 (20,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #702 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,79% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.535
Mean bets / session: 5.839
Loss multiplier: 1.0197×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,4% / 55,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 8 42971 wagers · RTP 86,06%

BlackjackR 5 39144 wagers · RTP 96,90%

European RouletteR 2 44820 wagers · RTP 128,55%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 30619 wagers · RTP 42,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 80117 wagers · RTP 92,45%

BaccaratR 1 64814 wagers · RTP 68,19%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 34614 wagers · RTP 43,54%

American RouletteR 1 11110 wagers · RTP 99,46%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0999 wagers · RTP 18,11%

CrashR 7816 wagers · RTP 98,40%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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