Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #775 / 1,000

P0282

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 28,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 171

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 829

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 100Deviation -R 4 729

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 829. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 888

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 725 to R 18 009
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #699 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.253
Mean bets / session: 5.651
Loss multiplier: 1.0597×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,9% / 50,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 6 35138 wagers · RTP 94,03%

BlackjackR 4 44631 wagers · RTP 105,66%

American RouletteR 4 10325 wagers · RTP 83,43%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 60618 wagers · RTP 39,20%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 06812 wagers · RTP 73,55%

European RouletteR 2 00412 wagers · RTP 70,96%

BaccaratR 1 70610 wagers · RTP 126,31%

CrashR 1 69910 wagers · RTP 44,14%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5899 wagers · RTP 74,34%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 40014 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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