Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #54 / 1,000

P0283

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 91,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 19 107

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 9 107

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 236Deviation R 12 343

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 9 107. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 768

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 770 to R 17 294
Finished ahead: 203 / 1,000 (20,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #742 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,54% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.597
Mean bets / session: 5.287
Loss multiplier: 1.0487×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,8% / 67,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 40 99962 wagers · RTP 82,89%

Craps / DiceR 22 54438 wagers · RTP 99,04%

European RouletteR 11 98317 wagers · RTP 51,74%

CrashR 7 96517 wagers · RTP 100,51%

BaccaratR 6 91212 wagers · RTP 104,79%

American RouletteR 6 90012 wagers · RTP 34,17%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 31122 wagers · RTP 65,52%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 39018 wagers · RTP 731,69%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 2249 wagers · RTP 121,11%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 30013 wagers · RTP 61,54%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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