Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #132 / 1,000

P0287

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 83,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 11 425

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 425

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 431Deviation R 2 856

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 1 425. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 575

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 979 to R 14 192
Finished ahead: 213 / 1,000 (21,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #679 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.686
Mean bets / session: 4.631
Loss multiplier: 1.0644×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,8% / 56,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 12 05051 wagers · RTP 99,49%

BlackjackR 7 91634 wagers · RTP 85,56%

CrashR 5 17822 wagers · RTP 171,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 33818 wagers · RTP 81,37%

European RouletteR 3 16813 wagers · RTP 103,88%

BaccaratR 2 74212 wagers · RTP 146,70%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0959 wagers · RTP 110,41%

American RouletteR 1 7027 wagers · RTP 134,31%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 60016 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0665 wagers · RTP 20,17%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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