Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #859 / 1,000

P0288

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 4,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 161

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 839

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 081Deviation -R 6 759

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 839. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 943

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 737 to R 18 357
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #748 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.893
Mean bets / session: 4.412
Loss multiplier: 1.0197×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,5% / 47,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 72252 wagers · RTP 107,18%

Craps / DiceR 6 51547 wagers · RTP 72,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 58341 wagers · RTP 91,38%

European RouletteR 1 97715 wagers · RTP 12,75%

CrashR 1 72012 wagers · RTP 99,71%

BaccaratR 1 69914 wagers · RTP 56,58%

American RouletteR 1 48013 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1539 wagers · RTP 3,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 09211 wagers · RTP 76,19%

Lottery / JackpotR 99011 wagers · RTP 29,09%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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