Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #80 / 1,000

P0289

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 94,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 14 605

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 605

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 623Deviation R 7 228

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 4 605. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 939

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 478 to R 4 644
Finished ahead: 173 / 1,000 (17,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #636 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.962
Mean bets / session: 3.307
Loss multiplier: 1.0225×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,2% / 67,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 7 65042 wagers · RTP 95,91%

Craps / DiceR 6 65237 wagers · RTP 91,25%

CrashR 4 09222 wagers · RTP 124,48%

American RouletteR 2 52914 wagers · RTP 251,13%

European RouletteR 2 13212 wagers · RTP 259,19%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 01311 wagers · RTP 135,32%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5759 wagers · RTP 95,77%

BaccaratR 1 5099 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 4488 wagers · RTP 13,47%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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