Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #584 / 1,000

P0292

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 65,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 374

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 626

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 080Deviation -R 1 546

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 626. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 743

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 578 to R 11 909
Finished ahead: 183 / 1,000 (18,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #689 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.962
Mean bets / session: 3.807
Loss multiplier: 1.0288×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,9% / 76,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 6 49242 wagers · RTP 107,83%

American RouletteR 6 39041 wagers · RTP 56,28%

BlackjackR 5 88637 wagers · RTP 97,67%

BaccaratR 1 84012 wagers · RTP 143,37%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 80412 wagers · RTP 84,36%

European RouletteR 1 73411 wagers · RTP 54,84%

CrashR 1 2468 wagers · RTP 265,07%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1968 wagers · RTP 17,39%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1207 wagers · RTP 81,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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