Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #14 / 1,000

P0293

Medium bets, frequent. The visible outcome sits at the 99,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 38 781

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 28 781

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 195Deviation R 29 976

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 28 781. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 880

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 460 to R 8 828
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #695 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.572
Mean bets / session: 4.061
Loss multiplier: 1.0567×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,9% / 75,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 13 05252 wagers · RTP 105,77%

Craps / DiceR 7 27229 wagers · RTP 82,65%

CrashR 4 01616 wagers · RTP 128,13%

European RouletteR 3 76515 wagers · RTP 20,00%

BaccaratR 3 51414 wagers · RTP 111,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0088 wagers · RTP 142,31%

American RouletteR 1 7577 wagers · RTP 42,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 25,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 2 283,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 22,22%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies