Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #572 / 1,000

P0302

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 17,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 521

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 479

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 273Deviation -R 2 206

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 479. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 168

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 287 to R 5 292
Finished ahead: 267 / 1,000 (26,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #450 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,84% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.675
Mean bets / session: 2.592
Loss multiplier: 1.0709×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,6% / 72,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 14813 wagers · RTP 98,01%

CrashR 1 3358 wagers · RTP 16,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1767 wagers · RTP 91,12%

Craps / DiceR 1 0026 wagers · RTP 163,67%

European RouletteR 8635 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 8495 wagers · RTP 46,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 6814 wagers · RTP 35,61%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1651 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1651 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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