Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #85 / 1,000

P0305

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 93,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 14 368

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 368

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 343Deviation R 4 712

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 4 368. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 294

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 389 to R 4 876
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #463 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.782
Mean bets / session: 1.747
Loss multiplier: 1.007×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,4% / 54,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 3938 wagers · RTP 95,03%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 1648 wagers · RTP 79,60%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 4296 wagers · RTP 166,62%

CrashR 8293 wagers · RTP 143,79%

American RouletteR 7703 wagers · RTP 627,66%

BlackjackR 4652 wagers · RTP 100,22%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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