Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #166 / 1,000

P0308

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 82,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 464

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 464

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 105Deviation R 569

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 464. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 401

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 496 to R 1 573
Finished ahead: 334 / 1,000 (33,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #331 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.325
Mean bets / session: 1.682
Loss multiplier: 1.0111×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,3% / 71,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 6284 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 4783 wagers · RTP 32,22%

European RouletteR 3222 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 3182 wagers · RTP 803,77%

CrashR 3152 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1701 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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