Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #376 / 1,000

P0311

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 63,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 329

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 671

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 299Deviation -R 372

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 671. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 426

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 767 to R 4 955
Finished ahead: 275 / 1,000 (27,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #478 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.489
Mean bets / session: 2.962
Loss multiplier: 1.0601×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,3% / 59,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 3957 wagers · RTP 27,10%

Craps / DiceR 1 1646 wagers · RTP 130,76%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1276 wagers · RTP 39,02%

BaccaratR 1 0755 wagers · RTP 122,79%

CrashR 7454 wagers · RTP 289,97%

American RouletteR 4382 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 4302 wagers · RTP 84,19%

Three-Reel SlotR 3792 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies