Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #361 / 1,000

P0313

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 60,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 413

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 587

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 245Deviation -R 342

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 587. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 955

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 892 to R 3 346
Finished ahead: 283 / 1,000 (28,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #420 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,83% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.792
Mean bets / session: 1.618
Loss multiplier: 1.0407×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,5% / 47,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 5869 wagers · RTP 110,66%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1216 wagers · RTP 46,23%

BlackjackR 9025 wagers · RTP 142,24%

European RouletteR 7274 wagers · RTP 75,52%

American RouletteR 5483 wagers · RTP 201,46%

CrashR 3482 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1861 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1781 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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