Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #602 / 1,000

P0314

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 22,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 104

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 896

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 496Deviation -R 2 400

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 896. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 487

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 301 to R 6 340
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #490 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.653
Mean bets / session: 2.707
Loss multiplier: 1.03×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,6% / 58,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 4 20915 wagers · RTP 104,76%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 83310 wagers · RTP 39,82%

BlackjackR 1 9137 wagers · RTP 128,33%

Craps / DiceR 1 4665 wagers · RTP 119,10%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9134 wagers · RTP 23,44%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 5622 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2521 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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