Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #493 / 1,000

P0328

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 41,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 222

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 778

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 539Deviation -R 1 239

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 778. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 259

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 117 to R 5 145
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #461 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.65
Mean bets / session: 2.386
Loss multiplier: 1.0279×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,0% / 78,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 15720 wagers · RTP 71,07%

BaccaratR 1 6318 wagers · RTP 111,65%

CrashR 1 2646 wagers · RTP 157,83%

Three-Reel SlotR 6893 wagers · RTP 15,82%

European RouletteR 6123 wagers · RTP 72,88%

BlackjackR 4332 wagers · RTP 51,73%

Craps / DiceR 4262 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 133,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2291 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 2151 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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