Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #721 / 1,000

P0329

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 3,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 269

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 731

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 538Deviation -R 4 193

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 731. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 803

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 599 to R 6 520
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #523 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.748
Mean bets / session: 2.597
Loss multiplier: 1.0469×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,8% / 52,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 24612 wagers · RTP 75,20%

BaccaratR 1 7578 wagers · RTP 33,18%

American RouletteR 1 6078 wagers · RTP 35,28%

BlackjackR 1 2236 wagers · RTP 132,46%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1385 wagers · RTP 43,94%

CrashR 8844 wagers · RTP 47,09%

Craps / DiceR 8563 wagers · RTP 135,75%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 6913 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 4662 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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