Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #340 / 1,000

P0330

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 48,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 515

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 486

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 77Deviation -R 408

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 486. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 453

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 352 to R 1 141
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #344 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,73% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.497
Mean bets / session: 1.048
Loss multiplier: 1.0047×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,9% / 45,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3402 wagers · RTP 49,12%

CrashR 3382 wagers · RTP 125,00%

Craps / DiceR 3172 wagers · RTP 103,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 2992 wagers · RTP 109,03%

BaccaratR 2982 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 1691 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1661 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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