Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #330 / 1,000

P0331

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 58,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 569

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 431

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 122Deviation -R 309

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 431. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 627

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 836 to R 2 707
Finished ahead: 275 / 1,000 (27,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #371 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.4
Mean bets / session: 2.094
Loss multiplier: 1.0074×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,4% / 64,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 8215 wagers · RTP 158,10%

European RouletteR 8055 wagers · RTP 38,51%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6594 wagers · RTP 128,52%

Craps / DiceR 3362 wagers · RTP 97,02%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3342 wagers · RTP 49,40%

American RouletteR 1651 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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