Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #177 / 1,000

P0333

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 82,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 336

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 336

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 150Deviation R 487

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 336. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 600

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 918 to R 1 733
Finished ahead: 286 / 1,000 (28,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #370 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,08% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.671
Mean bets / session: 1.023
Loss multiplier: 1.0296×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,3% / 54,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5818 wagers · RTP 108,53%

BaccaratR 8014 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 4072 wagers · RTP 121,01%

Craps / DiceR 2131 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2011 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 2011 wagers · RTP 500,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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