Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #390 / 1,000

P0334

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 24,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 227

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 773

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 66Deviation -R 708

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 773. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 316

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 354 to R 1 373
Finished ahead: 312 / 1,000 (31,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #313 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.321
Mean bets / session: 1.281
Loss multiplier: 1.0258×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,8% / 70,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 9435 wagers · RTP 98,41%

American RouletteR 5643 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1951 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 1941 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1841 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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