Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #360 / 1,000

P0336

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 55,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 415

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 585

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 121Deviation -R 464

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 585. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 737

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 118 to R 2 326
Finished ahead: 247 / 1,000 (24,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #389 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.337
Mean bets / session: 1.616
Loss multiplier: 1.0256×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,8% / 48,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6913 wagers · RTP 68,89%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4532 wagers · RTP 164,86%

CrashR 4522 wagers · RTP 55,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4202 wagers · RTP 47,86%

European RouletteR 2441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 100,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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