Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #349 / 1,000

P0337

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 36,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 452

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 548

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 85Deviation -R 462

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 548. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 292

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 238 to R 1 082
Finished ahead: 315 / 1,000 (31,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #312 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.433
Mean bets / session: 1.218
Loss multiplier: 1.0099×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,4% / 74,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 7145 wagers · RTP 98,25%

BaccaratR 2972 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2862 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2852 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 1371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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