Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #154 / 1,000

P0340

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 90,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 658

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 658

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 160Deviation R 818

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 658. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 498

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 470 to R 1 447
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #353 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.328
Mean bets / session: 1.994
Loss multiplier: 1.0307×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,4% / 49,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 5594 wagers · RTP 176,23%

BaccaratR 5484 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

CrashR 2832 wagers · RTP 94,70%

BlackjackR 2472 wagers · RTP 99,60%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies