Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #284 / 1,000

P0341

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 64,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 741

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 259

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 53Deviation -R 206

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 259. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 672

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 064 to R 3 138
Finished ahead: 273 / 1,000 (27,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #381 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.372
Mean bets / session: 1.401
Loss multiplier: 1.0779×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,4% / 78,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 1885 wagers · RTP 115,56%

Three-Reel SlotR 4852 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2481 wagers · RTP 210,55%

European RouletteR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies