Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #87 / 1,000

P0345

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 91,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 14 260

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 260

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 457Deviation R 4 716

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 4 260. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 428

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 747 to R 7 068
Finished ahead: 286 / 1,000 (28,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #480 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,17% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.692
Mean bets / session: 2.614
Loss multiplier: 1.0652×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,0% / 79,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 2 83812 wagers · RTP 286,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 65212 wagers · RTP 121,84%

CrashR 1 9527 wagers · RTP 155,28%

BaccaratR 1 3535 wagers · RTP 60,27%

American RouletteR 1 1375 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7153 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4812 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3952 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 2111 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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