Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #558 / 1,000

P0346

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 2,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 622

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 378

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 279Deviation -R 2 099

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 378. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 781

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 140 to R 1 981
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #398 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.344
Mean bets / session: 1.9
Loss multiplier: 1.0676×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 50,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 6795 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6625 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5804 wagers · RTP 12,33%

CrashR 5084 wagers · RTP 29,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3583 wagers · RTP 139,66%

Craps / DiceR 3012 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2602 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2282 wagers · RTP 253,51%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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