Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #126 / 1,000

P0347

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 83,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 11 561

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 561

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 520Deviation R 2 081

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 1 561. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 439

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 157 to R 6 301
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #477 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,73% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.638
Mean bets / session: 2.421
Loss multiplier: 1.0581×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 59,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 3 83213 wagers · RTP 76,98%

Craps / DiceR 3 47412 wagers · RTP 148,93%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 7396 wagers · RTP 210,94%

CrashR 1 1384 wagers · RTP 92,16%

European RouletteR 8973 wagers · RTP 66,67%

BlackjackR 8973 wagers · RTP 66,67%

American RouletteR 2991 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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