Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #551 / 1,000

P0355

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 12,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 682

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 318

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 240Deviation -R 2 078

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 318. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 906

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 762 to R 4 605
Finished ahead: 292 / 1,000 (29,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #413 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.592
Mean bets / session: 1.516
Loss multiplier: 1.0678×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 65,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 2365 wagers · RTP 38,83%

BlackjackR 1 0494 wagers · RTP 52,24%

Three-Reel SlotR 9794 wagers · RTP 51,07%

American RouletteR 7993 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 7843 wagers · RTP 70,41%

European RouletteR 5562 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4992 wagers · RTP 249,50%

Craps / DiceR 2591 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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