Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #643 / 1,000

P0360

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 16,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 574

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 426

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 461Deviation -R 2 965

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 426. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 412

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 280 to R 4 849
Finished ahead: 304 / 1,000 (30,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #478 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.328
Mean bets / session: 2.877
Loss multiplier: 1.0452×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,8% / 64,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 1 9457 wagers · RTP 88,24%

BaccaratR 1 2675 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 0434 wagers · RTP 41,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7273 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

Craps / DiceR 2921 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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