Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #19 / 1,000

P0364

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 99,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 33 095

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 23 095

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 294Deviation R 23 389

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 23 095. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 665

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 034 to R 2 013
Finished ahead: 254 / 1,000 (25,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #377 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.423
Mean bets / session: 2.664
Loss multiplier: 1.0286×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,7% / 47,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 7948 wagers · RTP 70,90%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5945 wagers · RTP 130,27%

BlackjackR 9184 wagers · RTP 106,75%

Craps / DiceR 7743 wagers · RTP 110,59%

American RouletteR 5922 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4743 wagers · RTP 5 117,51%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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