Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #662 / 1,000

P0372

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 3,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 121

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 879

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 283Deviation -R 3 596

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 879. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 503

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 788 to R 5 781
Finished ahead: 249 / 1,000 (24,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #489 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.595
Mean bets / session: 2.415
Loss multiplier: 1.0521×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,3% / 65,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 1 4207 wagers · RTP 89,72%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0606 wagers · RTP 59,12%

BaccaratR 9485 wagers · RTP 73,21%

CrashR 7103 wagers · RTP 41,73%

Craps / DiceR 6713 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 5843 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5343 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3872 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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