Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #472 / 1,000

P0374

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 11,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 382

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 618

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 175Deviation -R 1 443

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 618. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 588

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 967 to R 1 994
Finished ahead: 286 / 1,000 (28,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #370 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,01% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.349
Mean bets / session: 1.958
Loss multiplier: 1.0505×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,7% / 63,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 0455 wagers · RTP 99,78%

Three-Reel SlotR 4212 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4142 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3972 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3922 wagers · RTP 99,49%

BlackjackR 2081 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 1901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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