Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #527 / 1,000

P0375

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 6,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 945

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 055

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 224Deviation -R 1 831

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 055. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 820

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 161 to R 2 661
Finished ahead: 223 / 1,000 (22,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #400 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,74% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.531
Mean bets / session: 1.624
Loss multiplier: 1.0721×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,1% / 62,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1497 wagers · RTP 41,32%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0036 wagers · RTP 38,14%

European RouletteR 7214 wagers · RTP 71,98%

American RouletteR 6584 wagers · RTP 71,12%

BaccaratR 4863 wagers · RTP 167,44%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1671 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1651 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1641 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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