Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #498 / 1,000

P0376

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 28,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 176

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 824

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 263Deviation -R 1 562

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 824. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 139

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 760 to R 2 898
Finished ahead: 222 / 1,000 (22,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #444 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,71% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.581
Mean bets / session: 2.118
Loss multiplier: 1.002×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,5% / 57,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 64611 wagers · RTP 52,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9156 wagers · RTP 17,27%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5994 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 4733 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 4173 wagers · RTP 159,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 3152 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2772 wagers · RTP 51,26%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1471 wagers · RTP 125,00%

American RouletteR 1451 wagers · RTP 900,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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