Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #528 / 1,000

P0381

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 33,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 932

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 068

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 318Deviation -R 1 749

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 068. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 306

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 680 to R 5 868
Finished ahead: 281 / 1,000 (28,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #461 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.698
Mean bets / session: 1.601
Loss multiplier: 1.0014×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 59,6% / 48,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0238 wagers · RTP 45,11%

CrashR 1 1905 wagers · RTP 28,05%

BaccaratR 1 1335 wagers · RTP 160,99%

Three-Reel SlotR 7113 wagers · RTP 98,59%

European RouletteR 4702 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 4462 wagers · RTP 158,74%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2741 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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