Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #145 / 1,000

P0385

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible outcome sits at the 86,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 952

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 952

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 226Deviation R 1 178

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 952. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 010

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 095 to R 5 522
Finished ahead: 250 / 1,000 (25,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #428 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,65% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.356
Mean bets / session: 2.292
Loss multiplier: 1.0445×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,1% / 56,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6877 wagers · RTP 74,10%

BaccaratR 1 6246 wagers · RTP 132,51%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8593 wagers · RTP 137,93%

European RouletteR 3081 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Craps / DiceR 2891 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 2641 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2181 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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